C1 Expression Very Formal 3 min read

Ein Bayes-Faktor größer als 10 spricht stark für

A Bayes factor greater than 10 speaks strongly for

Literally: A Bayes-factor greater than 10 speaks strongly for

In 15 Seconds

  • Used to show strong statistical evidence for a specific hypothesis.
  • Common in German academic, scientific, and data-driven business contexts.
  • Indicates a high level of certainty based on mathematical calculation.

Meaning

This phrase is used to indicate that mathematical evidence strongly supports a specific hypothesis. It's like saying 'the numbers prove I'm right' but in a very sophisticated, scientific way.

Key Examples

3 of 6
1

Presenting research results

Ein Bayes-Faktor größer als 10 spricht stark für die Nullhypothese.

A Bayes factor greater than 10 speaks strongly for the null hypothesis.

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2

Discussing a marketing A/B test

Die Daten sind eindeutig: Ein Bayes-Faktor größer als 10 spricht stark für Design B.

The data is clear: A Bayes factor greater than 10 speaks strongly for Design B.

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3

Arguing with a fellow student

Schau dir die Analyse an; ein Bayes-Faktor größer als 10 spricht stark für meine Vermutung.

Look at the analysis; a Bayes factor greater than 10 speaks strongly for my assumption.

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🌍

Cultural Background

There is a strong movement towards 'Open Science' and 'Bayesian Statistics' in Germany to combat the replication crisis. Using this phrase signals that you are part of this modern, transparent research culture. Swiss universities (like ETH Zurich or UZH) are extremely rigorous with statistical reporting. Using the correct terminology is essential for passing exams or getting published. Austria has a long history of logical positivism (Vienna Circle). This influences a preference for clear, mathematically grounded language in science. In the global tech industry, German engineers and data scientists are known for their 'Gründlichkeit'. Using Bayesian terms in reports is seen as a mark of high quality.

🎯

Precision is Key

In German academic writing, avoid 'sehr gut'. Use 'spricht stark für' to sound like a professional researcher.

⚠️

Don't overstate

If the factor is 5, don't say 'stark'. Say 'moderat'. Accuracy is a cultural value in German science.

In 15 Seconds

  • Used to show strong statistical evidence for a specific hypothesis.
  • Common in German academic, scientific, and data-driven business contexts.
  • Indicates a high level of certainty based on mathematical calculation.

What It Means

Imagine you are a detective. You have two theories about who ate the last cookie. A Bayes factor is a mathematical tool. It compares how well two theories explain the evidence. When the number is over 10, the math is basically shouting. It says one theory is much better than the other. In German, spricht stark für means the evidence is leaning heavily in one direction. It is not just a guess. It is a calculated, high-confidence conclusion. You are moving beyond 'maybe' into 'definitely likely.'

How To Use It

You usually start your sentence with this phrase. Then, you add the hypothesis you are supporting. Use the preposition für followed by the accusative case. For example, für die Wirksamkeit or für unsere Theorie. It sounds very professional. It shows you have done your homework. You can use it in written reports. You can also use it in high-level presentations. It makes you sound like a data wizard. Even if you aren't a mathematician, using it correctly shows deep analytical thinking.

When To Use It

Use this in academic settings. It is perfect for a master's thesis or a lab report. Use it in business meetings when discussing A/B tests. If you are a data scientist, this is your bread and butter. You can also use it with nerdy friends. Imagine arguing about which board game strategy is better. If you have the data, drop this phrase. It adds a layer of authority to your argument. It is the ultimate tool for ending a debate with logic.

When NOT To Use It

Do not use this at a casual party. People might think you are a bit too serious. Avoid it when talking to children. They won't know what a Bayes factor is. Don't use it for subjective things like 'this cake tastes good.' Unless you actually ran a statistical analysis on the cake! It is too heavy for small talk. If you use it while flirting, you might end up alone. Keep it for contexts where data actually matters.

Cultural Background

Germany has a massive respect for engineering and science. Precision is a cultural value. Bayesian statistics have become very popular in German universities lately. They are seen as more flexible than traditional methods. This phrase reflects the German love for 'Evidenz' (evidence). It shows a shift from 'gut feeling' to 'data-driven' decision making. It is a hallmark of modern German academic and corporate culture.

Common Variations

You might hear spricht eindeutig für for even stronger evidence. If the evidence is weaker, people say spricht moderat für. Sometimes they use liefert starke Evidenz für. If the factor is very high (over 100), they say spricht extrem stark für. All these variations follow the same logic. They scale the strength of the argument based on the number. It is like a volume knob for your certainty.

Usage Notes

This is a high-register, technical expression. It requires a solid understanding of the context (statistics) and should be used with the Accusative case after 'für'.

🎯

Precision is Key

In German academic writing, avoid 'sehr gut'. Use 'spricht stark für' to sound like a professional researcher.

⚠️

Don't overstate

If the factor is 5, don't say 'stark'. Say 'moderat'. Accuracy is a cultural value in German science.

Examples

6
#1 Presenting research results
<svg class="w-5 h-5" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" viewBox="0 0 24 24" aria-hidden="true"><path stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" d="M21 13.255A23.931 23.931 0 0112 15c-3.183 0-6.22-.62-9-1.745M16 6V4a2 2 0 00-2-2h-4a2 2 0 00-2 2v2m4 6h.01M5 20h14a2 2 0 002-2V8a2 2 0 00-2-2H5a2 2 0 00-2 2v10a2 2 0 002 2z"/></svg>

Ein Bayes-Faktor größer als 10 spricht stark für die Nullhypothese.

A Bayes factor greater than 10 speaks strongly for the null hypothesis.

A standard way to conclude a scientific paper.

#2 Discussing a marketing A/B test
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Die Daten sind eindeutig: Ein Bayes-Faktor größer als 10 spricht stark für Design B.

The data is clear: A Bayes factor greater than 10 speaks strongly for Design B.

Using math to justify a business decision.

#3 Arguing with a fellow student
<svg class="w-5 h-5" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" viewBox="0 0 24 24" aria-hidden="true"><path stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" d="M14.828 14.828a4 4 0 01-5.656 0M9 10h.01M15 10h.01M21 12a9 9 0 11-18 0 9 9 0 0118 0z"/></svg>

Schau dir die Analyse an; ein Bayes-Faktor größer als 10 spricht stark für meine Vermutung.

Look at the analysis; a Bayes factor greater than 10 speaks strongly for my assumption.

A confident, slightly competitive academic tone.

#4 Writing a formal lab report
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In diesem Fall spricht ein Bayes-Faktor größer als 10 stark für eine Korrelation.

In this case, a Bayes factor greater than 10 speaks strongly for a correlation.

Formal written German in a scientific context.

#5 A humorous debate about coffee brands
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Mein Geschmackstest war wissenschaftlich: Ein Bayes-Faktor größer als 10 spricht stark für diesen Espresso.

My taste test was scientific: A Bayes factor greater than 10 speaks strongly for this espresso.

Using high-level jargon for a trivial topic to be funny.

#6 Explaining a difficult decision
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Es war keine leichte Wahl, aber ein Bayes-Faktor größer als 10 spricht stark für den Umzug.

It wasn't an easy choice, but a Bayes factor greater than 10 speaks strongly for the move.

Applying statistical logic to a personal life event.

Test Yourself

Füllen Sie die Lücke mit der richtigen Präposition und dem richtigen Artikel.

Ein Bayes-Faktor größer als 10 spricht stark _______ _______ Hypothese.

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: für die

Das Verb 'sprechen' benötigt hier die Präposition 'für' + Akkusativ. 'Hypothese' ist feminin, also 'die'.

Welcher Satz ist grammatikalisch korrekt?

Vergleich von Werten:

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: Ein Bayes-Faktor größer als 10 spricht stark für den Effekt.

Bei Ungleichheit verwendet man im Deutschen 'als'.

Vervollständigen Sie das Gespräch im Labor.

A: Sind die Ergebnisse eindeutig? B: Ja, ein Bayes-Faktor _______ _______ 10 spricht _______ _______ {das|n} Modell.

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: größer als / stark für

Die Kombination aus 'größer als' und 'stark für' drückt die gewünschte Sicherheit aus.

In welcher Situation ist dieser Satz angemessen?

Kontextwahl:

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: In einer wissenschaftlichen Publikation.

Dies ist ein hochgradig formaler, technischer Ausdruck.

🎉 Score: /4

Visual Learning Aids

Practice Bank

4 exercises
Füllen Sie die Lücke mit der richtigen Präposition und dem richtigen Artikel. Fill Blank B2

Ein Bayes-Faktor größer als 10 spricht stark _______ _______ Hypothese.

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: für die

Das Verb 'sprechen' benötigt hier die Präposition 'für' + Akkusativ. 'Hypothese' ist feminin, also 'die'.

Welcher Satz ist grammatikalisch korrekt? Choose B1

Vergleich von Werten:

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: Ein Bayes-Faktor größer als 10 spricht stark für den Effekt.

Bei Ungleichheit verwendet man im Deutschen 'als'.

Vervollständigen Sie das Gespräch im Labor. dialogue_completion C1

A: Sind die Ergebnisse eindeutig? B: Ja, ein Bayes-Faktor _______ _______ 10 spricht _______ _______ {das|n} Modell.

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: größer als / stark für

Die Kombination aus 'größer als' und 'stark für' drückt die gewünschte Sicherheit aus.

In welcher Situation ist dieser Satz angemessen? situation_matching A2

Kontextwahl:

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: In einer wissenschaftlichen Publikation.

Dies ist ein hochgradig formaler, technischer Ausdruck.

🎉 Score: /4

Frequently Asked Questions

4 questions

Nur wenn es eine sehr formelle Arbeits-E-Mail an einen Professor oder Kollegen ist. Sonst wirkt es zu steif.

Dann spricht er nur 'moderat' oder 'anekdotisch' für die Hypothese.

Ja, in der Standardsprache ist es ein Fehler. In Dialekten hört man es oft, aber schreiben Sie es niemals.

Es ist eine Metapher: Die Daten sind wie ein Zeuge vor Gericht, der eine Aussage 'für' jemanden macht.

Related Phrases

🔗

statistisch signifikant

similar

statistically significant

🔄

Evidenz liefern

synonym

to provide evidence

🔗

die Nullhypothese verwerfen

builds on

to reject the null hypothesis

🔗

deutet hin auf

similar

points towards

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