Predicting the Future: Using 'Likely' and 'Unlikely' (Hedging)
Grammar Rule in 30 Seconds
Use 'likely' and 'unlikely' to express probability with more precision and formality than 'maybe' or 'probably'.
- Use 'Subject + be + likely + to + verb' for personal predictions: 'He is likely to win.'
- Use 'It + be + likely + that + clause' for general situations: 'It is likely that prices will rise.'
- Modify with 'highly', 'more than', or 'very' to adjust the strength of the prediction.
Overview
Sometimes we are not 100% sure. We use special words for this.
Use likely and unlikely to say what might happen.
Use these words at work or with friends. They show careful thinking.
These words help you sound smart. You do not sound too strong.
How This Grammar Works
Formation Pattern
It is likely that the new policy will face strong opposition. (Focus on the probability of the policy facing opposition.)
Our team is unlikely to meet the revised deadline. (Our team is the one that will not meet.)
The outdated system is very likely to experience further glitches.
very | Increased | The research is very likely to yield groundbreaking results. |
highly | Strongly Increased | It's highly unlikely they'll compromise on that point. |
extremely | Maximally Increased | It's extremely likely the flight will be delayed. |
quite | Moderately Increased | He's quite likely to change his mind if you persuade him. |
rather | Moderately Increased | It's rather unlikely we'll get a response today. |
less | Decreased | She's less likely to resign than to be promoted. |
most | Maximally Increased (superlative)| He's the most likely candidate to win the election. |
least | Maximally Decreased (superlative)| It's the least likely scenario to occur. |
hardly | Nearly impossible | It's hardly likely that they would refuse. |
When To Use It
Given the current market trends, the company is likely to report a profit this quarter.It's unlikely that the negotiations will conclude before the weekend.
The data suggests that climate change is likely to exacerbate extreme weather events.It is unlikely that the proposed model can accurately predict consumer behavior without further refinement.
It's unlikely that we will be able to accommodate your request for a full refund.The revised timeline is likely to cause some disruption to existing schedules.
The initial rollout is likely to encounter minor technical issues.It's highly unlikely that the competitor will be able to replicate our technology in such a short timeframe.
If the weather improves, we are likely to proceed with the outdoor event.It's unlikely that she would agree to such a proposal without significant concessions.
Common Mistakes
- Incorrect:
*It will likely rain tomorrow. - Correct:
It is likely to rain tomorrow.(Adjectivelikelylinked byistoit, referring to the rain.) - Correct:
It will probably rain tomorrow.(Adverbprobablymodifying the verbwill rain.) - Correct:
It is likely that it will rain tomorrow.(Using thethat-clausestructure.)
- Incorrect:
*The company is likely announce a merger soon. - Correct:
The company is likely to announce a merger soon.
- Incorrect:
*It is likely very that the event will be postponed. - Correct:
It is very likely that the event will be postponed.
likely/unlikely:Real Conversations
Observe how likely and unlikely are deployed in everyday, yet nuanced, English exchanges across different registers.
1. Professional Email (Project Update):
Subject
Hi Team, Just a quick update on the 'Quantum Leap' initiative. The prototype testing is progressing well, and it is highly likely that we will meet our development milestones for the next phase. However, due to unforeseen supplier delays, the final delivery date is unlikely to be before the end of November. We're exploring alternative vendors. I'll provide another update next week.
Observation
highly likely to convey strong confidence in internal progress while using unlikely to be to tactfully manage expectations regarding external dependencies. This balances optimism with realism.2. University Discussion (Sociology Seminar):
Student A
Do you think the government's new social welfare program is likely to alleviate poverty in rural areas?Student B
Based on previous similar initiatives, it's unlikely that it will have a significant impact without more targeted local interventions. It's more likely to benefit urban populations initially.Observation
based on previous initiatives) and distinguishing between different probabilities (unlikely that vs. more likely to).3. Casual Conversation (Friends planning a trip):
Friend 1
The weather forecast for Saturday looks terrible. Are we still likely to go hiking?Friend 2
To be honest, it's highly unlikely now. I saw a severe weather warning. We're more likely to end up at the cinema. Or, it's likely that we just stay in and play board games.Observation
highly unlikely expresses a near-certain cancellation, while more likely to and likely that offer alternative, probable plans, showing flexibility in social planning.4. News Report (Economic Analysis):
Economists predict that inflation is likely to remain elevated for at least another quarter, driven by global supply chain issues. However, a significant interest rate hike by the central bank is unlikely to occur before their next policy meeting, as they continue to monitor labor market data.
Observation
Likely to remain and unlikely to occur are used to present expert predictions to the public, offering a balanced view of economic prospects without making definitive statements, reflecting the inherent uncertainties of forecasting.Quick FAQ
It is likely that the train will be delayed.(The probability is about the event of the train's delay.)The train is likely to be delayed.(The probability is attributed to the train itself and its state of being delayed.)
likely over probably or other hedging devices?Forming Predictions with 'Likely'
| Subject | Verb 'to be' | Likelihood | Infinitive/Clause |
|---|---|---|---|
|
I
|
am
|
likely
|
to attend
|
|
You
|
are
|
unlikely
|
to fail
|
|
It
|
is
|
highly likely
|
that it will rain
|
|
We
|
are
|
more than likely
|
to win
|
|
They
|
were
|
unlikely
|
to have known
|
|
The results
|
are
|
likely
|
to be significant
|
Common Contractions
| Full Form | Contracted Form |
|---|---|
|
It is likely
|
It's likely
|
|
They are unlikely
|
They're unlikely
|
|
I am not likely
|
I'm not likely
|
Meanings
The words 'likely' and 'unlikely' function as adjectives in English to indicate the probability of an event occurring. They are essential for 'hedging'—the practice of making cautious or vague statements to avoid over-generalization.
Predictive Adjective
Used to describe the probability of a future action or state.
“A recession is likely in the coming months.”
“It is unlikely that the team will recover from this loss.”
Academic Hedging
Used in research and formal reports to present findings as probable rather than absolute truths.
“The data suggests that these results are likely to be replicated.”
“It is highly unlikely that the variables are unrelated.”
Adverbial Usage (US English)
In American English, 'likely' is often used as an adverb meaning 'probably'.
“They'll likely arrive around six.”
“He will most likely decline the offer.”
Reference Table
| Form | Structure | Example |
|---|---|---|
|
Affirmative (Personal)
|
Subj + be + likely + to + verb
|
She is likely to call later.
|
|
Affirmative (Impersonal)
|
It + be + likely + that + clause
|
It is likely that she will call.
|
|
Negative (Adjective)
|
Subj + be + unlikely + to + verb
|
They are unlikely to arrive on time.
|
|
Negative (Verb)
|
Subj + be + not + likely + to + verb
|
They are not likely to arrive on time.
|
|
Question
|
Be + Subj + likely + to + verb?
|
Are you likely to be home by six?
|
|
Modified
|
Subj + be + highly likely + to + verb
|
The price is highly likely to rise.
|
Formality Spectrum
It is highly likely that I shall be delayed. (Professional vs. Casual communication)
I am likely to be late. (Professional vs. Casual communication)
I'll likely be late. (Professional vs. Casual communication)
Prob gonna be late. (Professional vs. Casual communication)
The Probability Scale
High Probability
- Highly likely 90% chance
- More than likely 80% chance
Low Probability
- Unlikely 20% chance
- Highly unlikely 5% chance
Likely vs. Probably
Choosing Your Structure
Are you focusing on a person/thing?
Examples by Level
It is likely.
Is it likely?
It is unlikely.
Very likely.
The train is likely to be late.
It is likely that he is at home.
She is unlikely to come to the party.
Are you likely to finish today?
We are likely to see more rain this week.
It's unlikely that they will change their minds.
Is it likely to cost a lot of money?
He is not likely to win the race.
The government is likely to introduce new taxes.
It is highly unlikely that the error was accidental.
They are more than likely to accept the offer.
The project is unlikely to be completed on time.
Such a scenario is highly likely to provoke a strong reaction.
It is increasingly likely that the policy will be reversed.
The findings are unlikely to have a significant impact on the field.
Is it not likely that the witness was mistaken?
In all likelihood, the merger will proceed as planned.
The candidate is singularly unlikely to garner enough support.
It remains highly likely that further interventions will be required.
Were the results to be skewed, a re-evaluation would be likely.
Easily Confused
Learners use 'likely' as an adverb without a modifier, which sounds unnatural in some dialects.
Both can mean 'probable', but 'liable' often implies a negative or legal responsibility.
Learners use 'likely' when they are 100% certain.
Common Mistakes
I likely go.
I will probably go.
It likely.
It is likely.
Is likely?
Is it likely?
Very likely rain.
It is very likely to rain.
He is likely go.
He is likely to go.
It is likely that rain.
It is likely that it will rain.
I am unlikely for come.
I am unlikely to come.
He will likely to win.
He is likely to win.
It is likely him to win.
He is likely to win.
The likely result is it wins.
The likely result is that it will win.
He likely won't come.
He is unlikely to come.
It is likely that he comes tomorrow.
It is likely that he will come tomorrow.
The highly likelyhood of success.
The high likelihood of success.
It is unlikely for there to be a problem.
It is unlikely that there will be a problem.
Sentence Patterns
Subject + be + likely + to + ___
It + is + ___ + likely + that + ___
___ + is + unlikely + to + ___
In all likelihood, ___
Real World Usage
Showers are likely in the afternoon.
We are likely to exceed our targets this quarter.
The treatment is likely to cause some fatigue.
They are unlikely to make a comeback at this stage.
It is likely that the results were influenced by sample size.
I'm likely to be a bit late, don't wait up!
Use 'Highly' for Impact
Watch the 'To'
The British Understatement
Impersonal vs Personal
Smart Tips
Switch from 'I think it will...' to 'It is likely that...'.
Use the 'Subject + be likely to' structure to keep the focus on the person.
Use 'more than likely' instead of just 'likely'.
Remember that 'Is it unlikely...?' is asking if something is NOT going to happen.
Pronunciation
Likely
Two syllables. Stress on the first syllable.
Unlikely
Three syllables. Stress on the second syllable.
Rising-Falling on 'Likely'
He is LIKELY to win. ↘
Conveys a confident prediction.
Memorize It
Mnemonic
L-I-K-E-L-Y: Look Into Known Evidence, Logically Yielding (a prediction).
Visual Association
Imagine a weather vane pointing towards a rain cloud. The vane represents 'likely'—it's not raining yet, but the evidence (the wind) suggests it will.
Rhyme
If it's likely to be, it's a future we see; if it's unlikely to occur, the vision is a blur.
Story
A cautious scientist named Dr. Hedge never says 'will'. When asked if the volcano will erupt, he says, 'It is likely to erupt, but it is unlikely to happen today.' He keeps his job because he is never wrong, just 'likely' right.
Word Web
Challenge
Write three predictions for your life in five years using 'likely to', 'unlikely to', and 'highly likely that'.
Cultural Notes
British speakers are very fond of hedging to avoid appearing too direct or aggressive. Using 'likely' is a key part of polite, professional disagreement.
In the US, 'likely' is frequently used as an adverb (e.g., 'He likely forgot'). This is less common in formal British English.
In global academic culture, using 'likely' is a sign of intellectual humility and scientific rigor.
From Middle English 'likly', meaning 'having the appearance of being true'.
Conversation Starters
What are you likely to do this weekend?
Is it likely that AI will replace most jobs in the next decade?
Which team is likely to win the next World Cup?
In your opinion, is it likely that we will discover life on other planets soon?
Journal Prompts
Common Mistakes
Test Yourself
The prices are ___ to rise next month.
Which sentence is correct?
Find and fix the mistake:
She likely to win the race.
I don't think it will rain.
Match each item on the left with its pair on the right:
A: Do you think they'll accept the offer? B: It's ___.
Identify the adjective:
likely / is / to / the / be / late / flight
Score: /8
Practice Exercises
8 exercisesThe prices are ___ to rise next month.
Which sentence is correct?
Find and fix the mistake:
She likely to win the race.
I don't think it will rain.
Match the following:
A: Do you think they'll accept the offer? B: It's ___.
Identify the adjective:
likely / is / to / the / be / late / flight
Score: /8
Practice Bank
11 exercisesThe new game update is ___ to fix many of the existing bugs.
He likely will be late because of traffic.
Which sentence uses 'unlikely' correctly?
Translate into English: 'Es muy probable que llueva mañana.'
Arrange these words into a sentence:
Match the sentence beginnings with appropriate endings:
The concert tickets are selling fast, so it's ___ that they'll be available much longer.
Our professor likely will give us an extension.
Select the correct sentence:
Translate: 'Es improbable que lo terminemos a tiempo.'
Put the words in the right order:
Score: /11
FAQ (8)
Yes, especially in American English (e.g., 'He likely forgot'). However, in formal British English, it is better to use it as an adjective ('He is likely to have forgotten') or add a modifier ('He very likely forgot').
'Unlikely' is an adjective that feels a bit more formal and direct. 'Not likely' is simply the negation of the adjective 'likely'. Both are common, but 'unlikely' is preferred in academic writing.
Usually, yes. Since you are making a prediction, the 'that' clause needs a future marker like `will` or `is going to`. Example: `It is likely that he will win.`
Yes, 'likely' is generally considered more formal and objective, making it the preferred choice for reports, news, and academic papers.
Absolutely. 'Most likely' is a very common way to say 'almost certainly'. It can be used as an adverbial phrase: 'Most likely, we will stay home.'
This is a formal idiom that means 'almost certainly' or 'very probably'. It is a great phrase to use at the start of a sentence in C1-level writing.
Yes, by using the perfect infinitive: 'He is likely to have arrived by now.' This means it is probable that he arrived in the past.
Yes, it has a negative meaning (low probability), but it is grammatically affirmative. You don't need to add 'not' to 'unlikely'.
Scaffolded Practice
1
2
3
4
Mastery Progress
Needs Practice
Improving
Strong
Mastered
In Other Languages
Es probable que + subjunctive
Spanish requires the subjunctive mood.
Il est probable que + indicative/subjunctive
Nuance between probability and possibility affects mood.
Wahrscheinlich / Voraussichtlich
German prefers adverbs over the 'be likely to' adjective structure.
〜そうだ (sou da) / 〜らしい (rashii)
Japanese uses grammatical particles and suffixes rather than a 'to be' adjective structure.
من المحتمل أن (min al-muhtamal an)
Arabic uses a prepositional phrase structure.
很可能 (hěn kěnéng)
Chinese lacks the complex infinitive/clause distinction found in English.
Learning Path
Prerequisites
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