B1 verb ニュートラル 1分で読める

预判

yupan /yù pàn/

Pre-judging or forecasting future outcomes based on available information.

30秒でわかる単語

  • To judge or predict future events.
  • Based on current information and experience.
  • Crucial for planning and risk avoidance.

Overview

“预判”是一个动词,意思是提前进行判断或预测。它强调的是一种基于现有信息、经验和逻辑推理,对未来可能发生的情况、趋势或结果所做的推测。这种能力在很多领域都非常重要,比如商业决策、体育竞技、军事行动以及日常生活中的规划。

“预判”通常用于描述对未来事件的预测和判断。它可以单独使用,也可以与名词、动词或形容词搭配。例如,我们可以说“预判形势”、“预判市场趋势”、“预判对手的下一步行动”。它也可以作为动词短语的一部分,如“需要提前预判风险”。

在商业领域,管理者需要预判市场变化,制定应对策略。在体育比赛中,运动员需要预判对手的动作,做出相应的反应。在军事上,指挥官需要预判战场态势,部署兵力。在日常生活中,我们也会在出行前预判天气,或在投资前预判收益。

“估计”通常指根据不完全的信息进行粗略的计算或判断,可能不涉及对未来的预测,更多是关于当前或过去情况的判断,或者对数量的粗略判断。

“预料”和“预判”都很接近,但“预料”更强调对可能发生的事情有所准备或有心理预期,不一定包含主动的判断过程。“预判”则包含了更强的分析和判断成分。

“预测”更侧重于根据数据和模型对未来进行量化或趋势性的推断,通常带有科学性和统计性。“预判”则更侧重于基于经验和逻辑的、更主观的判断和推测,尤其是在复杂或不确定情况下。

例文

1

在谈判前,我们必须对对方的底线有所预判。

business

Before the negotiation, we must have some pre-judgment about the other party's bottom line.

2

这位棋手能够准确预判对手的每一步棋。

game

This chess player can accurately anticipate the opponent's every move.

3

根据天气预报,我们可以预判明天可能会下雨。

daily life

Based on the weather forecast, we can predict that it might rain tomorrow.

4

经济学家们正在预判下一季度的经济增长趋势。

academic

Economists are forecasting the economic growth trend for the next quarter.

よく使う組み合わせ

预判形势 Anticipate the situation
预判风险 Assess risks in advance
预判趋势 Forecast trends
预判结果 Predict outcomes

よく使うフレーズ

提前预判

Anticipate in advance

做出预判

Make a pre-judgment

准确预判

Accurately anticipate

よく混同される語

预判 vs 预测 (yùcè)

While both involve looking ahead, 'yùcè' (predict/forecast) often relies more on data, models, and statistical analysis, aiming for quantitative or trend-based predictions. 'Yùpàn' (pre-judge/anticipate) is more about making a judgment or assessment based on experience and logical reasoning, especially in complex or uncertain scenarios.

预判 vs 预料 (yùliào)

'Yùliào' (expect/anticipate) implies having an idea or expectation about something that might happen, often involving mental preparation. 'Yùpàn' involves a more active process of analysis and judgment to form that expectation.

文法パターン

预判 + 名词 (e.g., 预判形势) 预判 + 可能会/会 + 动词 (e.g., 预判可能会有风险) 对...进行预判 (e.g., 对市场进行预判)

How to Use It

使い方のコツ

The term 'yùpàn' is commonly used in both formal and informal contexts, particularly when discussing strategy, planning, or risk assessment. It implies a proactive and analytical approach to future possibilities. Using 'yùpàn' suggests that a deliberate judgment has been made based on available information.


よくある間違い

Avoid using 'yùpàn' when you simply mean 'to see' or 'to know'; it specifically implies a prediction or judgment made *before* an event. Also, be careful not to confuse it with 'yùcè' which often implies a more data-driven forecast.

Tips

💡

Think Ahead, Act Smart

Use 'yùpàn' when you need to anticipate and make informed decisions before events unfold.

⚠️

Don't Confuse with Certainty

Remember that 'yùpàn' is a prediction, not a guarantee. It involves educated guessing, not absolute knowledge.

🌍

Strategic Foresight

In Chinese culture, foresight and strategic planning are highly valued, making 'yùpàn' a common and useful concept in various aspects of life.

語源

The word 'yùpàn' is composed of 'yù' (预), meaning 'before' or 'in advance', and 'pàn' (判), meaning 'to judge' or 'to decide'. Together, they literally mean 'to judge in advance'.

文化的な背景

In many East Asian cultures, including Chinese culture, foresight and strategic thinking are highly valued. The ability to 'yùpàn' (anticipate) potential challenges and opportunities is often seen as a sign of wisdom and competence.

覚え方のコツ

Think of 'yùpàn' as 'pre-judging' – you're forming a judgment *before* the final outcome is known, like a judge making a preliminary assessment.

よくある質問

4 問

“预测”通常基于数据和模型,更具科学性,例如预测天气或经济增长。“预判”则更多基于经验和逻辑,侧重于对情况的分析和主观判断,尤其是在复杂多变的场景下。

当需要提前思考和判断未来可能发生的情况,以便做出更好的决策时,就可以使用“预判”。例如,在商业竞争、体育比赛或项目规划中。

不是。预判是对未来可能性的一种推测,它不保证100%的准确性,但可以帮助我们更好地应对不确定性,提高成功的几率。

是的,“预判”在口语和书面语中都比较常用,尤其是在需要分析和讨论未来情况的场合。

自分をテスト

fill blank

我们需要对可能出现的市场风险进行充分的______。

正解! おしい! 正解: 预判

这句话强调的是对风险进行分析和判断,以便做出应对,因此“预判”最合适。

multiple choice

“预判”最核心的意思是什么?

正解! おしい! 正解: 在事情发生前根据信息进行判断和预测

“预判”的核心在于“提前”和“判断/预测”,是基于现有信息对未来的推测。

sentence building

请根据提示词语构建句子:

正解! おしい! 正解: 我预判了对手的下一步行动。

这个句子结构完整,语意清晰,符合“预判”的用法。

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