B2 Gramática 1 min read Fácil

Likely, Unlikely, Bound To, Certain To: Expressing Probability

Bound to = almost certain to happen. Likely/unlikely = probable/improbable. Certain to = guaranteed. These adjectives follow be and precede infinitives.

Grammar Rule in 30 Seconds

Use these phrases to express how confident you are about a future event happening.

  • Use 'bound to' for near-certainty: 'It is bound to rain.'
  • Use 'likely' for high probability: 'They are likely to arrive soon.'
  • Use 'unlikely' for low probability: 'It is unlikely to snow today.'
Subject + be + [likely/bound to/certain to] + Verb

Overview

## Bound To — Almost Certain
Be + bound to + infinitive = almost certain to happen — often inevitable:
  • She is bound to succeed — she's incredibly talented.
  • There is bound to be a delay. (it always happens)
  • They are bound to find out eventually.
## Likely and Unlikely
Be + likely/unlikely + to + infinitive
  • It is likely to rain tomorrow. (probable)
  • She is unlikely to change her mind. (improbable)
Alternative: It is likely that + subject + will:
  • It is likely that prices will rise.
  • It is unlikely that he will agree.
## Certain To — Guaranteed
Be + certain to + infinitive = more confident than likely:
  • He is certain to be there — he never misses events.
  • The team is certain to qualify this year.
## Probability Scale
| Expression | Certainty | Example |
|---|---|---|
| bound to | ~95% | She's bound to pass. |
| certain to | ~95% | He's certain to be late. |
| likely to | ~70% | It's likely to rain. |
| unlikely to | ~30% | It's unlikely to change. |

Formation of Probability Modals

Subject Be Verb Expression Infinitive
I
am
likely to
go
You
are
bound to
win
He/She/It
is
certain to
arrive
We
are
unlikely to
fail
They
are
likely to
succeed

Contractions

Full Form Contraction
I am likely to
I'm likely to
He is bound to
He's bound to
They are certain to
They're certain to

Meanings

These expressions function as adjectives or adverbial modifiers to indicate the speaker's degree of certainty regarding future outcomes.

1

High Probability

Something is expected to happen based on evidence.

“It is likely to rain later.”

“She is likely to get the promotion.”

2

Inevitability

Something is almost guaranteed to happen.

“He is bound to make a mistake eventually.”

“This project is bound to succeed.”

3

Certainty

The speaker has no doubt about the outcome.

“They are certain to be there.”

“The sun is certain to rise tomorrow.”

Reference Table

Reference table for Likely, Unlikely, Bound To, Certain To: Expressing Probability
Form Structure Example
Affirmative
Subj + be + likely to + V
It is likely to rain.
Negative
Subj + be + unlikely to + V
It is unlikely to rain.
Question
Be + Subj + likely to + V?
Is it likely to rain?
Bound To
Subj + be + bound to + V
He is bound to win.
Certain To
Subj + be + certain to + V
She is certain to pass.
Short Answer
Yes, it is / No, it isn't
Is it likely? Yes, it is.

Espectro de formalidade

Formal
The project is certain to be completed by Friday.

The project is certain to be completed by Friday. (Work deadline)

Neutro
The project is likely to be finished by Friday.

The project is likely to be finished by Friday. (Work deadline)

Informal
The project is bound to be done by Friday.

The project is bound to be done by Friday. (Work deadline)

Gíria
The project's gonna be done, for sure.

The project's gonna be done, for sure. (Work deadline)

Probability Spectrum

Certainty

High

  • Certain to 100%

Medium-High

  • Bound to 90%

Probable

  • Likely to 70%

Low

  • Unlikely to 20%

Exemplos por nível

1

It is likely to rain.

Es probable que llueva.

2

He is likely to come.

Es probable que él venga.

3

It is unlikely to be cold.

Es poco probable que haga frío.

4

They are likely to win.

Es probable que ellos ganen.

1

The bus is likely to be late.

Es probable que el autobús llegue tarde.

2

She is certain to pass the test.

Ella seguramente aprobará el examen.

3

It is unlikely to happen today.

Es poco probable que suceda hoy.

4

We are bound to have fun.

Seguro que nos divertiremos.

1

The economy is likely to improve next year.

Es probable que la economía mejore el próximo año.

2

This mistake is bound to cause problems.

Este error seguramente causará problemas.

3

It is unlikely that he will change his mind.

Es poco probable que cambie de opinión.

4

They are certain to arrive by noon.

Seguramente llegarán al mediodía.

1

The project is bound to face some resistance.

El proyecto seguramente enfrentará cierta resistencia.

2

Given the data, it is highly likely to succeed.

Dados los datos, es muy probable que tenga éxito.

3

It is unlikely to be a simple solution.

Es poco probable que sea una solución simple.

4

The results are certain to be published soon.

Los resultados seguramente se publicarán pronto.

1

Such a policy is bound to exacerbate existing tensions.

Tal política seguramente exacerbará las tensiones existentes.

2

It is statistically unlikely to occur twice.

Es estadísticamente poco probable que ocurra dos veces.

3

The outcome is certain to reshape the industry.

El resultado seguramente remodelará la industria.

4

He is likely to be appointed as the new director.

Es probable que sea nombrado nuevo director.

1

The proposed changes are bound to meet with significant opposition.

Los cambios propuestos seguramente se encontrarán con una oposición significativa.

2

It is highly unlikely to yield the desired results.

Es altamente improbable que produzca los resultados deseados.

3

The consensus is that the trend is certain to continue.

El consenso es que la tendencia seguramente continuará.

4

Such an approach is likely to prove counterproductive.

Es probable que tal enfoque resulte contraproducente.

Fácil de confundir

Likely, Unlikely, Bound To, Certain To: Expressing Probability vs Likely vs. Like

Learners often confuse the adjective 'likely' with the preposition 'like'.

Likely, Unlikely, Bound To, Certain To: Expressing Probability vs Bound to vs. Must

Both imply necessity, but 'bound to' is for prediction, 'must' is for obligation.

Likely, Unlikely, Bound To, Certain To: Expressing Probability vs Certain to vs. Sure to

They are synonyms, but 'certain to' is more formal.

Erros comuns

It is likely rain.

It is likely to rain.

Missing the 'to' infinitive.

He is bound to success.

He is bound to succeed.

Using a noun instead of a verb.

It is not likely to.

It is unlikely to.

Unlikely is preferred over not likely.

She is likely that she comes.

She is likely to come.

Incorrect clause structure.

They are certain that win.

They are certain to win.

Incorrect structure.

It is likely happen.

It is likely to happen.

Missing 'to'.

He is bound that he wins.

He is bound to win.

Incorrect structure.

It is bound to be happening.

It is bound to happen.

Unnecessary continuous tense.

It is likely to have happened.

It is likely to happen.

Wrong tense for future prediction.

She is certain to be win.

She is certain to win.

Grammar error with 'be'.

It is highly bound to happen.

It is bound to happen.

Redundant intensifier.

It is unlikely to not happen.

It is likely to happen.

Double negative confusion.

The result is certain to be occurred.

The result is certain to occur.

Passive voice error.

Padrões de frases

It is ___ to happen.

He is ___ to win.

The results are ___ to be positive.

This ___ to be a mistake.

Real World Usage

Weather Forecast constant

It is likely to rain.

Business Report very common

The stock is bound to rise.

Texting Friends common

I'm likely to be late.

Job Interview common

I am certain to bring value.

Travel Updates common

The flight is likely to be delayed.

Food Delivery App occasional

Your order is bound to arrive soon.

💡

Use 'unlikely' for negatives

Instead of 'not likely', use 'unlikely'. It sounds much more natural.
⚠️

Don't forget the 'to'

The most common mistake is omitting the 'to' infinitive.
🎯

Bound to = Inevitable

Use 'bound to' when you want to sound very confident.
💬

Formal vs Informal

Use 'certain to' in formal writing and 'bound to' in speech.

Smart Tips

Use 'likely' instead of 'will' to sound more objective.

The price will rise. The price is likely to rise.

Use 'bound to' for strong conviction.

It will be good. It is bound to be good.

Use 'unlikely' to hedge.

It won't happen. It is unlikely to happen.

Use 'bound to' for excitement.

We will have fun. We are bound to have fun!

Pronúncia

/ˈlaɪkli/

Likely

Stress the first syllable: LIKE-ly.

/baʊnd tə/

Bound to

The 'd' in bound often blends into the 't' in to.

Falling

It is LIKELY to RAIN.

Conveys certainty and finality.

Memorize

Mnemônico

Remember 'L-B-C': Likely (Maybe), Bound (Strong), Certain (Yes).

Associação visual

Imagine a scale. 'Likely' is a light breeze, 'Bound to' is a heavy anchor, 'Certain' is a solid stone wall.

Rhyme

Likely to happen, bound to be true, certain to follow, through and through.

Story

I am likely to go to the party. I am bound to see my friends there. I am certain to have a great time.

Word Web

LikelyUnlikelyBound toCertain toProbabilityPrediction

Desafio

Write 3 predictions for your day using each of the three phrases.

Notas culturais

Often use 'bound to' more frequently than Americans.

Tend to use 'likely' in professional settings.

Avoids 'bound to' as it sounds too informal/subjective.

The word 'likely' comes from Old Norse 'ligr', meaning 'like'.

Iniciadores de conversa

What is likely to happen in the news tomorrow?

Is it bound to rain this weekend?

Are you certain to finish your project on time?

What is unlikely to change in the next ten years?

Temas para diário

Write about your plans for next year using 'likely to'.
Predict the future of technology using 'bound to'.
Discuss a professional goal using 'certain to'.
Analyze a current event using 'unlikely to'.

Erros comuns

Incorrect

Correto


Incorrect

Correto


Incorrect

Correto


Incorrect

Correto

Test Yourself

Fill in the blank.

It is ___ to rain tomorrow.

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: likely
Adjective required.
Select the correct sentence. Múltipla escolha

Which is correct?

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: He is bound to win.
Infinitive required.
Find the error. Error Correction

Find and fix the mistake:

It is unlikely that he will to come.

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: to
Unnecessary 'to'.
Reorder the words. Sentence Reorder

Arrange the words in the correct order:

All words placed

Click words above to build the sentence

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: It is likely to rain.
Correct word order.
Translate to English. Tradução

Es probable que gane.

Answer starts with: He ...

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: He is likely to win.
Correct translation.
Match the meaning. Match Pairs

Match each item on the left with its pair on the right:

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: Inevitability
Bound to means inevitable.
Complete the dialogue. Dialogue Completion

A: Will he pass? B: Yes, he is ___.

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: certain to
Needs 'to'.
Build a sentence. Sentence Building

Use 'unlikely' and 'happen'.

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: It is unlikely to happen.
Correct structure.

Score: /8

Exercicios praticos

8 exercises
Fill in the blank.

It is ___ to rain tomorrow.

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: likely
Adjective required.
Select the correct sentence. Múltipla escolha

Which is correct?

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: He is bound to win.
Infinitive required.
Find the error. Error Correction

Find and fix the mistake:

It is unlikely that he will to come.

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: to
Unnecessary 'to'.
Reorder the words. Sentence Reorder

to / rain / is / likely / it

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: It is likely to rain.
Correct word order.
Translate to English. Tradução

Es probable que gane.

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: He is likely to win.
Correct translation.
Match the meaning. Match Pairs

Match 'bound to' with its meaning.

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: Inevitability
Bound to means inevitable.
Complete the dialogue. Dialogue Completion

A: Will he pass? B: Yes, he is ___.

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: certain to
Needs 'to'.
Build a sentence. Sentence Building

Use 'unlikely' and 'happen'.

✓ Correct! ✗ Not quite. Correct answer: It is unlikely to happen.
Correct structure.

Score: /8

Perguntas frequentes (8)

No, 'likely' as an adjective needs 'to' + verb.

No, it's quite common in speech.

'Likely' is probability, 'certain' is 100% sure.

Yes, but 'unlikely' is more common.

Usually for the future, but can be used for logical deduction about the past.

It's part of the infinitive construction.

Yes, 'Is it likely to rain?'

Yes, they are very common for hedging.

Scaffolded Practice

1

1

2

2

3

3

4

4

Mastery Progress

Needs Practice

Improving

Strong

Mastered

In Other Languages

Spanish high

Es probable que...

English uses 'to + verb', Spanish uses a subordinate clause.

French high

Il est probable que...

English uses the infinitive.

German moderate

Es ist wahrscheinlich...

German word order changes.

Japanese low

~だろう (darou)

Japanese is agglutinative.

Arabic moderate

من المحتمل أن...

Arabic grammar is root-based.

Chinese low

很可能 (hěn kěnéng)

Chinese has no verb conjugation.

Learning Path

Prerequisites

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