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Iran has a new Supreme Leader. Does it even matter?
Legendas (245 segmentos)
Ayatah Ali Kame the man who had
personified the Islamic Republic for
nearly four decades is dead. Within days
Iran's assembly of experts had chosen
his son Moshtaba as the country's new
supreme leader. The speed of that
decision says less about the strength of
Iran's institutions than it does about
who truly runs the country. You see, in
the Islamic Republic, formal authority
and real power are not the same thing.
While clerics hold titles and names,
they do not always decide how leadership
passes from one to the next. Behind the
religious establishment stands the
revolutionary guards, Iran's most
powerful institution, and in moments
like this, the ultimate kingmaker. So
for all intents and purposes, the IRGC
has essentially staged a coup and called
it succession. But while Moshtaba's
election ends the immediate succession
crisis, it does not bring stability. As
the new supreme leader, he inherits a
country at war and there is no telling
how long he can hold power as bombs
continue to fall across its cities. And
so the real question was never about who
replaces KA, but whether Iran's
political system can survive the war
long enough for any succession to
matter. History, after all, does not
wait for orderly transitions.
Meanwhile, Iraqi Kurdish fighters appear
to be weighing crossber operations into
Iran. Over 100 sources have covered this
story, but sorting through that amount
of coverage has been a nightmare because
depending on which outlet I'm looking
at, I get a completely different version
of events. This is exactly why I use
Ground News, today's sponsor, because
they're the best tool to stay objective
in my reporting. On this story, ground
news lets me instantly see which
headlines focus on the Iraqi Kurdistan
government or which instead blame
autonomous militias such as Pjac. Same
story, two different realities. But with
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