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英语 11:16 News

Iran has a new Supreme Leader. Does it even matter?

VICE · 194,167 次观看 · 添加于 2 个月前

字幕 (245 片段)

00:00

Ayatah Ali Kame the man who had

00:03

personified the Islamic Republic for

00:05

nearly four decades is dead. Within days

00:09

Iran's assembly of experts had chosen

00:11

his son Moshtaba as the country's new

00:14

supreme leader. The speed of that

00:16

decision says less about the strength of

00:19

Iran's institutions than it does about

00:22

who truly runs the country. You see, in

00:25

the Islamic Republic, formal authority

00:28

and real power are not the same thing.

00:31

While clerics hold titles and names,

00:33

they do not always decide how leadership

00:36

passes from one to the next. Behind the

00:39

religious establishment stands the

00:41

revolutionary guards, Iran's most

00:44

powerful institution, and in moments

00:46

like this, the ultimate kingmaker. So

00:50

for all intents and purposes, the IRGC

00:53

has essentially staged a coup and called

00:56

it succession. But while Moshtaba's

00:58

election ends the immediate succession

01:00

crisis, it does not bring stability. As

01:04

the new supreme leader, he inherits a

01:06

country at war and there is no telling

01:08

how long he can hold power as bombs

01:11

continue to fall across its cities. And

01:14

so the real question was never about who

01:16

replaces KA, but whether Iran's

01:19

political system can survive the war

01:21

long enough for any succession to

01:23

matter. History, after all, does not

01:26

wait for orderly transitions.

01:30

Meanwhile, Iraqi Kurdish fighters appear

01:32

to be weighing crossber operations into

01:35

Iran. Over 100 sources have covered this

01:38

story, but sorting through that amount

01:40

of coverage has been a nightmare because

01:43

depending on which outlet I'm looking

01:45

at, I get a completely different version

01:47

of events. This is exactly why I use

01:51

Ground News, today's sponsor, because

01:54

they're the best tool to stay objective

01:56

in my reporting. On this story, ground

01:59

news lets me instantly see which

02:01

headlines focus on the Iraqi Kurdistan

02:04

government or which instead blame

02:06

autonomous militias such as Pjac. Same

02:10

story, two different realities. But with

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