Guessing involves making an inference or conjecture based on incomplete information or uncertainty.
30秒でわかる単語
- To infer or estimate with limited information.
- Expresses uncertainty about a situation or outcome.
- Common in daily conversation and problem-solving.
Overview
猜测（cāicè）是一个常用的中文动词，意为“推测”、“估计”或“猜想”。它描述的是一种在缺乏确凿证据的情况下，对未知事物进行判断或推断的过程。这种推断可能基于有限的信息、过去的经验、逻辑推理，甚至是直觉。猜测的准确性并不一定很高，它更多地反映了说话人的一种不确定但有倾向性的看法。
猜测通常用于表达对某事的不确定性，并尝试给出一个可能的答案。它可以单独使用，也可以与表示不确定性的副词（如“大概”、“或许”、“可能”）或表示程度的词语（如“很难”、“不难”）连用。在句子结构上，猜测后面可以跟名词、代词、句子或一些表示不确定性的词语，构成“猜测+某事”的结构。
估计 (gūjì)
估计更侧重于根据已知信息进行量化或非量化的判断，通常带有一定的计算或估算成分，准确性相对较高。猜测则更侧重于信息不足时的推断，准确性不确定性更大。
推测 (tuīcè)
推测和猜测非常接近，但推测通常更强调基于逻辑推理的过程，给人一种更理性、更深入的印象。猜测则可以包含更多直觉或模糊的判断。
例文
我猜测明天的天气会很好。
everydayI guess the weather tomorrow will be good.
警方根据现场的线索，对犯罪嫌疑人的身份进行了猜测。
formalBased on the clues at the scene, the police conjectured the identity of the suspect.
他没接电话，我猜他可能在忙。
informalHe didn't answer the phone, I guess he might be busy.
在缺乏足够数据的情况下，研究人员对该现象的成因做出了初步的猜测。
academicIn the absence of sufficient data, the researchers made preliminary conjectures about the causes of the phenomenon.
よく使う組み合わせ
よく使うフレーズ
我的猜测是
My guess is
你猜怎么着？
Guess what?
猜来猜去
guessing back and forth
よく混同される語
Estimate tends to be more quantitative or based on calculation/comparison, while '猜测' is more about inferring truth or possibility with less concrete data.
While similar, '推测' often implies a more logical and reasoned deduction process. '猜测' can encompass more intuitive or less structured conjecture.
文法パターン
How to Use It
使い方のコツ
The word '猜测' implies a degree of uncertainty. It's suitable for informal and neutral contexts. In formal settings, especially when presenting findings, it's often better to use more precise terms like '推测' (infer) or '估计' (estimate), or clearly state the basis for the conjecture.
よくある間違い
Avoid using '猜测' when you actually have definite knowledge or proof. Ensure that the context truly reflects a situation of uncertainty or incomplete information. Don't present a guess as a confirmed fact.
Tips
Inferring with Uncertainty
Use '猜测' when you lack full information and are making an educated guess. It highlights the speculative nature of your statement.
Avoid Over-Guessing
While guessing is natural, be mindful of presenting guesses as facts, especially in formal or critical situations. Acknowledge the uncertainty.
Indirect Communication
In Chinese culture, expressing uncertainty through '猜测' can sometimes be a polite way to avoid direct confrontation or stating potentially incorrect information.
語源
The character '猜' (cāi) originally related to guessing or estimating. '测' (cè) means to measure or fathom. Together, '猜测' forms a compound word emphasizing the act of trying to fathom or guess something unknown.
文化的な背景
In Chinese culture, directly stating a guess can sometimes be softened to avoid appearing overly assertive or potentially incorrect. Using phrases that indicate speculation is common in everyday interactions.
覚え方のコツ
Think of 'guess' in English. '猜测' sounds a bit like 'guess-see', imagining you're trying to 'see' or figure something out when you don't have all the information.
よくある質問
4 問“猜测”通常是在信息很少或不确定的情况下进行的推断，准确性不高。“估计”则是在已有信息的基础上，对数量、大小、程度等进行判断，通常带有一定的计算或参照，相对更客观。
“猜测”可以用在各种场合，尤其是在日常对话中，用来表达对某事不确定的看法。也可以用于分析问题、讨论情况等。
“猜测”后面可以跟名词、代词、句子，或者一些表示不确定性的词语，构成完整的推断内容。例如：猜测他的想法、猜测这是怎么回事。
虽然“猜测”本身带有不确定性，但可以通过收集更多信息、运用逻辑推理、参考过往经验等方式来提高推断的合理性和准确性。
自分をテスト
根据他疲惫的样子，我______他昨晚没睡好。
根据“疲惫的样子”这个线索，推断“昨晚没睡好”是一种不确定的判断，因此“猜测”最合适。
“你认为他会来吗？” “很难说，我只能猜测。”
“很难说”表明不确定性，后面用“猜测”来回应，表示只能推测，无法确定。
请用“天气”、“变化”、“猜测”、“可能”构建句子。
“我猜测...”是主语+谓语的结构，“天气可能变化”是猜测的内容，构成完整的句子。
スコア： /3
Summary
Guessing involves making an inference or conjecture based on incomplete information or uncertainty.
- To infer or estimate with limited information.
- Expresses uncertainty about a situation or outcome.
- Common in daily conversation and problem-solving.
Inferring with Uncertainty
Use '猜测' when you lack full information and are making an educated guess. It highlights the speculative nature of your statement.
Avoid Over-Guessing
While guessing is natural, be mindful of presenting guesses as facts, especially in formal or critical situations. Acknowledge the uncertainty.
Indirect Communication
In Chinese culture, expressing uncertainty through '猜测' can sometimes be a polite way to avoid direct confrontation or stating potentially incorrect information.
例文
4 / 4我猜测明天的天气会很好。
I guess the weather tomorrow will be good.
警方根据现场的线索，对犯罪嫌疑人的身份进行了猜测。
Based on the clues at the scene, the police conjectured the identity of the suspect.
他没接电话，我猜他可能在忙。
He didn't answer the phone, I guess he might be busy.
在缺乏足够数据的情况下，研究人员对该现象的成因做出了初步的猜测。
In the absence of sufficient data, the researchers made preliminary conjectures about the causes of the phenomenon.
Related Content
関連語彙
academicの関連語
缺席
B1The state of being absent from a place or event where one is expected to be, such as a class, meeting, or ceremony.
抽象的
A2Abstract.
抽象地
B1In an abstract manner; conceptually.
艰深
B1Profound; abstruse; recondite.
学术性
A2Academic; scholarly; relating to education and scholarship.
学术化
B1Academic; characterized by formal study or research.
学术会议
A2Academic conference; a formal meeting for academic discussions.
学术交流
B1Exchange of ideas, information, and research among scholars.
学术期刊
B1A periodical publication containing scholarly articles.
教务处
A2Academic affairs office; department handling educational administration.
