A1 noun 中性 #3,500 最常用 2分钟阅读

probability

/ˌprɒb.əˈbɪl.ə.ti/

Probability is the mathematical way we measure how likely something is to happen.

30秒词汇

  • Probability measures the chance of an event happening.
  • Values range from zero (impossible) to one (certain).
  • It is used in science, math, and daily life.

Overview

Probability is a fundamental concept used to quantify uncertainty. It helps us understand the likelihood of outcomes in situations ranging from coin tosses to complex scientific predictions. By assigning a value between 0 and 1 (or 0% to 100%), we can compare the chances of different events occurring in an objective way. Usage Patterns: The word is commonly used with prepositions like 'of' when describing an event, as in 'the probability of rain.' It is often paired with adjectives such as 'high,' 'low,' or 'statistical' to describe the nature of the forecast. When discussing probability, speakers frequently use modal verbs like 'might,' 'could,' or 'will' to express the degree of certainty implied by the probability value. Common Contexts: You will encounter this term frequently in mathematics and statistics classrooms. Outside of school, it is a staple in weather forecasting, where meteorologists discuss the probability of precipitation. It is also central to fields like insurance, finance, and gambling, where calculating risks and potential returns is essential for decision-making. In casual conversation, people might use it to talk about the likelihood of an event, such as the probability of arriving on time given heavy traffic. Similar Words comparison: While 'possibility' refers to whether something can happen at all, 'probability' focuses on the degree of certainty. 'Chance' is often used as a more informal synonym for probability, especially when discussing everyday events or luck. 'Likelihood' is a formal synonym that is often used interchangeably with probability in statistical contexts, though it can sometimes carry a slightly more subjective tone depending on the speaker's intent.

例句

1

The probability of rain today is 30%.

everyday

Today's chance of rain is 30%.

2

There is a low probability of success with this plan.

formal

It is unlikely this plan will succeed.

3

What's the probability we'll get tickets?

informal

How likely is it that we'll get tickets?

4

The study analyzed the statistical probability of the outcome.

academic

The study looked at the mathematical likelihood of the result.

反义词

impossibility certainty

常见搭配

high probability very likely to happen
low probability not very likely to happen
calculate the probability perform math to find the likelihood

常用短语

in all probability

very likely

statistical probability

calculated mathematical likelihood

probability theory

the branch of math studying probability

容易混淆的词

probability vs possibility

Possibility refers to whether something can happen at all. Probability measures the numerical likelihood of that event.

probability vs chance

Chance is a more casual term often used for luck or unpredictable events. Probability is preferred in scientific and formal contexts.

语法模式

The probability of [noun/gerund] is... There is a [adjective] probability of... Calculate the probability of...

How to Use It

使用说明

Probability is a formal noun that is widely used in academic, scientific, and professional environments. While it can be used in casual conversation, it often sounds quite analytical. In very informal speech, native speakers are more likely to use the word 'chance'.


常见错误

Learners often say 'the probability is high to happen,' which is grammatically incorrect. Instead, use 'the probability of it happening is high.' Another mistake is using 'probability' for events that are certain, where 'certainty' is a better fit.

Tips

💡

Use percentages for clarity

When explaining probability to others, using percentages often makes the information easier to understand. For instance, say 'there is a 20% probability' rather than 'a 0.2 probability'.

⚠️

Don't confuse with luck

Probability is based on data and math, not luck. Avoid using the term when referring to random superstitious events.

🌍

Probability in weather reports

In many English-speaking countries, weather forecasts always include the 'probability of precipitation.' Understanding this helps you decide whether to carry an umbrella.

词源

The word comes from the Latin 'probabilitas,' meaning 'approvability' or 'credibility.' It evolved to describe the mathematical measure of how likely an event is to be true or occur.

文化背景

In modern society, probability is the foundation of risk management in insurance and finance. It is also a key component of the scientific method, as researchers use it to determine if their results are significant.

记忆技巧

Think of a weather forecast: the 'P' in Probability stands for 'Precipitation' chances. If the probability is high, you need an umbrella!

常见问题

4 个问题

No, they are different. Possibility just means something can happen, while probability measures how likely it is to happen.

It is usually expressed as a fraction, a decimal, or a percentage. For example, a 50% probability means there is an equal chance of an event occurring or not occurring.

No, probability cannot exceed 100%. A probability of 100% means the event is guaranteed to happen.

While it is a formal term, people use it in casual settings when discussing risks or odds. However, 'chance' is more common in everyday speech.

自我测试

fill blank

There is a high ___ that it will snow tonight.

正确! 不太对。 正确答案: probability

Probability is the standard term for measuring the likelihood of a future event.

multiple choice

What does a 0% probability represent?

正确! 不太对。 正确答案: It is impossible

A probability of zero indicates that an event cannot occur.

sentence building

We calculated the ___ of winning the game.

正确! 不太对。 正确答案: probability

Probability is the most precise term when referring to calculated outcomes.

得分: /3

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